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MNB: 2 százalék körül alakulhat a második fél évben az infláció

portfolio.hu 2026-06-25 10:40:38 |

A Magyar Nemzeti Bank friss Inflációs jelentése szerint a jegybank drasztikusan mérsékelte inflációs előrejelzését, miközben növekedési prognózisát enyhén javította. Az olaj- és gázárak jelentős csökkenése, a forint erősödése, valamint az élelmiszer- és üzemanyagárak kedvezőbb alakulása együttesen járultak hozzá az inflációs kilátások javulásához. Az MNB arra számít, hogy az infláció az év hátralévő részében a célsáv alsó szélén, 2 százalék körül alakulhat, és az árrésstopok kivezetése esetén sem haladná meg a jegybanki célt. A lakosság inflációs várakozásainak érdemi mérséklődését is kiemelte a jegybank, miközben a külpiaci növekedési kilátásokat enyhén rontotta. Utóbbit viszont ellensúlyozza a belépő kapacitások miatti ipari fordulat: alapvetően ez az oka, hogy a GDP-növekedésre is optimistább lett a jegybank.

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